Crossword controversy: Opposition press too tentative to criticize outrageous claim

Thursday, May 17, 2012
BLUF: 
A claim by Venezuelan state television that an opposition outlet was hiding "subliminal" messages calling for political violence in its crossword puzzle suggests emerging anxiety within the Chavez regime, left even some pro-Chavez commenters incredulous, and most importantly, revealed the extent the fearful opposition press is willing to go with self-censorship.
OBSERVED: 
On 9 May, a commentator on state-run VTV triggered a controversy during his evening show by alleging that opposition outlet Ultimas Noticias (UN) had hidden a “subliminal message” in its crossword puzzle [pictured above] calling for the assassination of President Hugo Chavez’s brother, Adan. Miguel Angel Perez Pirela said the inclusion of the words “Adan,” “assassination,” “gunfire,” and others in the puzzle was a coded message, and that "this type of message was used in the second world war." He asserted that a "group of specialists, who I won't name, but who protect the sovereignty of this country" had concluded, using expertise in "mathematics" and "psychology" that the message in the puzzle read: "We are going to create 'despair' with 'intelligence' and make history and ‘assassinate' 'Adan' with 'rounds' using 'Galiot,' 'Roa,' 'Erin,' (three nicknames) on the road from the exit to the base of the 'plains' on the day of 'Rabat,' a Jewish festival, the morning of 19 July.”

This claim initially drew ridicule from opposition blogs and a swift denial from Ultimas Noticias (UN). However, the situation gained an air of gravity when top state outlets such as Correo del Orinoco repeated and highlighted the accusation. The UN reported on 11 May that the Bolivarian National Intelligence Service (SEBIN) visited the newspaper’s editorial offices, and that the UN’s cruciverbalist, Neptali Segovia, spoke with the SEBIN “voluntarily” in an effort to diffuse the controversy and “clarify” the situation. Segovia insisted that his work had “no political intentions.”

Other opposition outlets involved in the story remained quiet about the issue until international news agencies picked up the story on 12 May, and even then said little. Notably, these international headlines featured skeptical reactions from avowed supporters of Chavez. An 11 May column from Venezuelan intellectual Nestor Francia on the pro-Bolivarian site Aporrea.org earned attention as it compared Perez's story to a “cheap spy film.” He regretted that Segovia had been “unjustly accused of something so serious.” Notably, however, Francia also expressed glowing support for Perez’s show outside this latest “fantasy,” but he warned that such “irresponsible” claims would harm the “credibility” of the left’s ostensibly legitimate claims against the other “conspiracy plans of the right.”

ASSESSMENT: 
The decision to throw the weight of the massive state press apparatus behind such a seemingly absurd claim raises questions about the regime’s own confidence in Chavez’s future stability. While Correo and others have repeatedly run headlined polls showing Chavez with a command 57 to 21 percent lead over Henrique Capriles (and even prominent opposition blogs are “daunted” by similar Datanalisis polls showing Chavez leading 43 percent to 26 percent), this type of behavior suggests that there is still some level of uncertainty or even anxiety over whether he will be able to maintain his grip on power, either for health or electoral reasons. For his part, Perez indicated that this would not be an isolated event during the campaign season, assuring his viewers that his program “was born to capture this” and would be “in the trenches” to continue “informing all Venezuelans. However, while chavista loyalsts such as Francia still clearly espouse a belief in opposition plots, the perceived international embarrassment from this level of accusation may be eroding their own trust and confidence in the regime, leading them to see the same type of emerging fissures and early signs of possible panic or disarray that other analysts have noted.
Moving forward with campaign coverage ahead of the 7 October vote, the clear self-censorship by other opposition outlets underscores the latent fear of a crackdown from what is likely perceived as an increasingly desperate (and therefore dangerous) regime. On 11 May, Vice President Elias Jaua again accused the opposition of “inventing rumors” about Chavez’s health, arguing that they “imagine a scenario without Chavez because they know they cannot defeat him electorally.” This quote may have been a direct response to a 6 May El Nacional article that openly explored the potential scenarios in October given “the possibility that Hugo Chavez may not be the PSUV candidate.” Chillingly, Jaua labeled this behavior “irresponsible” and claimed it was intended to “confuse the population,” terminology used by Chavez and his allies in the past to draft legal methods of silencing dissenting outlets and in some ways reminiscent of Fidel Castro’s own infamous warning to Cuban journalists to “meditate carefully” on what they say.

UN itself appeared reluctant to provoke the regime into further action, as its own coverage of the incident featured tellingly cropped images of the crossword in question with the controversial words “Adan” and “asasinan not entirely visible (see image above, at right) nor directly mentioned.  Prior to these accusations, UN had already expressed concern that it was the target of a smear campaign, noting the creation of fake twitter accounts bearing its name and reporting false or inaccurate information. Elsewhere, other leading opposition outlets appeared similarly hesitant to engage the issue. El Universal continued to publish editorials attacking Chavez’s policies, but notably did not highlight the issue (searches on it website primarily lead only to references in comments from readers). Meanwhile El Nacional relied on republished reports from international news agencies such as BBC, as if merely acknowledging a prominent storyline in the international press, a tactic used in the past by opposition outlets facing government pressure.